Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Why Those 'Obama Trending' Polls Are Wrong

It's what we've been saying all along but now an excellent story at The Daily Caller confirms it: the polls that show Obama pulling away are wrong because they are skewed toward the Democrats. Here's an excerpt:
"Romney is not behind in the polls because liberal Republicans are being turned off or independents are moving toward Obama. Most polls show Romney doing very well within his own party and holding his own with independents. Romney is dropping in the polls because pollsters are predicting a Democratic edge in turnout that will make 2008 look like a good year for the GOP. . .
"But the oversampling of Democrats is only a small part of a larger problem. In addition, pollsters are undersampling groups that are sympathetic to Republicans, like evangelicals and people who make over $100,000 a year, and oversampling groups that are sympathetic to Democrats, like mainline Protestants and people who make less than $50,000 a year."
Click here for the whole story.

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